The Norwegian Arctic Will Be Almost Deserted by 2050

In the strategy of fighting for the Arctic and its resources, which the leadership of NATO Arctic countries foolishly chose instead of partnership, cooperation, and the absence of conflict, the decisive role is played by existing demographic resources, which continue to decline, as will be shown below, for example, in Norway’s two northernmost counties, Troms and Finnmark.

In mid-2025, there were 170,610 inhabitants in Troms County and 74,971 in Finnmark, a total of 245,581, fewer than Murmansk alone (264,339), and less than half the population of the Murmansk Region (651,000). This decline will continue, as follows from the Norwegian publication cited below.

The attempt to directly increase the population of the Norwegian Arctic through migrants has clearly failed. The number of migrants from world’s southern regions in Troms and Finnmark is approximately 32,000, or 13 percent, while their share of the Norwegian population is steadily growing, reaching 17.5 percent in 2025.

The populations of the two Arctic European countries, Norway (5,627,400) and Finland (5,621,739), have grown over the past twenty years primarily due to immigrants, concealing a protracted demographic catastrophe and lulling the public into complacency with a modest population increase expected until 2100.

The failed demographic policies of Norwegian governments, beginning in the late 1960s and early 1970s, which implemented the world’s worst demographic practices, as prescribed by the Club of Rome, led to a complete cessation of Norway’s demographic growth within just thirty years. If you subtract the 987,120 first-generation immigrants permanently residing in the country in 2025, its population has not increased since 2005.

Norway’s population pyramid, instead of being joyfully reminiscent of a slender Christmas tree (with numerous young cohorts at the bottom), has long since acquired the shape of a diamond-shaped burial urn (few children and young people, many middle-aged and older adults), well familiar to demographers.

Norway has not achieved simple population replacement, with 2.1 children per fertile woman since 1973. In 2025, the total fertility rate (TFR) in Norway was 1.48 children per woman. In 2023 the TFR was at a record low of 1.40 children per woman. The high fertility of migrants, which the Norwegian authorities, in their utter stupidity, hoped for, has not materialized. By 2025, it had equaled the national average, amounting to less than 1.5 children per migrant woman.

The average age of Norway’s population increases by one year every five years. The average age of Norwegians in 2025 was 41.6 years—two years higher than in 2015, according to figures from Statistics Norway. For this small northern nation, this effectively amounts to a death sentence, the execution of which will draw closer with each passing year.

The UN projections show that Norway will have a birth deficit after 2045, and that population growth will then be driven exclusively by immigration.

By 2050, the Norwegian Arctic will be almost completely empty of working-age people, and attempts to increase the population by resettling people from Africa and Asia will be as unsuccessful as they have been over the past 25 years. Norway simply won’t have the people to fight for the Arctic, and imported Africans and Asians are unlikely to want to do it.

The pro-natalist measures of the Norwegian government, like those of almost all EU countries, are as effective as the beating of a drum, the howling and jumping of an African shaman around a fire, who promises abundant rain in a desert that has not seen rain for the last 20 years and will not see heavenly moisture for the same amount of time.

And the calls from the authorities of the northern provinces for Oslo to do something (see below) at the national level to rectify the situation will remain a voice crying in the Arctic desert (Isaiah 40<3-8>).